the rennie outlook 2025
Jan 30, 2025
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In the rennie outlook, we provide our predictions for various dimensions of our economy and housing market for 2025. And as we’ve said before, the value of the predictions contained in the report is not merely in using them as inputs into pro formas and business plans, but—perhaps most importantly—in the accompanying assumptions and context that inform our expectations.
We hope that you find this report useful as a basis for planning or, at the very least, as a part of constructive conversations about how our market is evolving.
Highlights:
Resale Market: Sales activity is projected to rise in 2025 as purchasing power improves, some pent-up demand un-pents, and elevated inventory brings more buyers off the sidelines in the Vancouver Region.
Rents: average rents are expected to soften due to the combination of declining international migration, decreasing interest rates, and quickly-expanding new purpose-built rental supply in Metro Vancouver.
Starts and Completions: With under-construction inventory near all-time highs in Metro Vancouver, a new high-water mark for housing completions will be established in 2025 (surpassing the previous record set last year). Fewer pre-sale transactions and building permits being issued over the past two years will yield a reduction in housing starts this year.
Our rennie intelligence team comprises our senior economist, market analysts, and business intelligence analysts. Together, they empower individuals, organizations, and institutions with data-driven market insight and analysis. Experts in real estate dynamics, urban land economics, the macroeconomy, shifting demographics, and data science, their industry-leading data acquisition, analytical systems, and strategic research supports a comprehensive advisory service and forms the basis of frequent reports and public presentations, covering the Vancouver, Kelowna, Victoria, and Seattle marketplaces. Their thoughtful and objective approach embodies the core values of rennie.
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Join Ryan Berlin (Head Economist and VP Intelligence) and Ryan Wyse (Market Intelligence Manager and Lead Analyst) as they discuss what the 2026 rennie outlook says is in store for Metro Vancouver's housing market in the year ahead. They examine why prices, rents, and sales activity are likely to remain soft, explore how new supply will start to pull back, and explain why the region's population will shrink once again this year before transitioning back to robust growth. In short, it's a conversation about 2026 shaping up as a year where the market finds its floor—and its footing—and what it means for the industry, buyers, and sellers.
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