Too Much Money Chasing Too Few Things
May 20, 2022
Written byRyan Berlin
It’s horses for courses when it comes to inflation, with the price escalation experience varying significantly from coast-to-coast.Inflation isn’t as uniform and ubiquitous as it is often treated. Consumer prices rise more quickly or slowly in different parts of the country. Additionally, the specific inflation rate any one individual faces reflects their particular spending patterns, and whatever the measure of inflation, it’s always a function of how prices are changing for the individual components in the consumer price index (like lemons and consulting services). On this latter point, the annual change in the price of services in Canada has been quite stable over the past decade, oscillating between 1-3% leading up to the pandemic. Goods inflation, on the other hand, has been much more volatile—reflecting the prices of things like gasoline and food, both of which fluctuate considerably—ranging from periods of deflation to increases of up to 4.6% (again, in the decade leading up to the pandemic). Today, inflation in goods is at 7.6%, while that of services is at 3.8%. Both are uncomfortably high, but for now, headline inflation is really being driven by the demand for products whose supply chains, in many instances, are hobbled. As this glitch in the matrix is mended through this coming year, price gains will ease.Gain more insights into our housing market by reading the Spring 2022 rennie landscape.Twice a year, rennie intelligence produces the rennie landscape, which tracks various demographic and economic indicators that directly and indirectly influence our housing market here in Metro Vancouver. Our goal is to provide our community with a basis for evaluating the trajectory of the factors that collectively define the context for the real estate market.
steady as she goes
The Bank of Canada announced it would be maintaining its trend-setting interest rate at 5%, where it’s been since July 2023 following an unprecedented regimen of rate hikes in magnitude, duration, and speed.
a less distressing narrative about interest rates
Over the past year, much ink has been spilled over the not-insignificant impact that rising interest rates have had, and will have, on housing markets around the world, including here in Canada. This is a distressing narrative to be sure—but there are a couple of important, and often overlooked, qualifiers that are necessary to append to any discussion of rising borrowing costs to more fulsomely comprehend the situation we have on our hands.